Balance of payments and external debt – September 2023
13.11.2023
In January - September 2023 p, the balance-of-payments current account posted a deficit of EUR 16,051 million, compared with EUR 21,147 million in the same year-ago period. The breakdown shows that the deficit on trade in goods declined by EUR 3,223 million, the surplus on services expanded by EUR 1,577 million, the primary income deficit decreased by EUR 258 million, while the secondary income surplus grew by EUR 38 million.
Balance of payments current account (EUR million)
| |
January - September 2022 |
January - September 2023p |
| CREDIT
| DEBIT
| BALANCE
| CREDIT
| DEBIT
| BALANCE |
| CURRENT ACCOUNT (A+B+C)
| 101,656
| 122,803
| -21,147
| 107,025
| 123,076
| -16,051 |
| A. Goods and services
| 90,892
| 105,224
| -14,332
| 95,460
| 104,992
| -9,532 |
| a. Goods
| 64,408
| 87,791
| -23,383
| 65,500
| 85,660
| -20,160 |
| b. Services
| 26,484
| 17,433
| 9,051
| 29,960
| 19,332
| 10,628 |
| - manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others
| 2,225
| 122
| 2,103
| 2,501
| 116
| 2,385 |
| - transport
| 7,478
| 3,413
| 4,065
| 7,933
| 3,462
| 4,471 |
| - tourism-travel
| 3,124
| 5,465
| -2,341
| 3,625
| 6,246
| -2,621 |
| - telecommunications, computer, and information services
| 6,668
| 2,658
| 4,010
| 7,505
| 3,009
| 4,496 |
| - other
| 6,989
| 5,775
| 1,214
| 8,396
| 6,499
| 1,897 |
| B. Primary income
| 5,768
| 13,492
| -7,724
| 6,373
| 13,839
| -7,466 |
| C. Secondary income
| 4,996
| 4,087
| 909
| 5,192
| 4,245
| 947 |
p - provisional data
Non-residents’ direct investmente in Romania totalled EUR 5,060 million (compared with EUR 8,671 million in January – September 2022), of which equity (including the estimated net reinvestment of earnings) and intercompany lending recorded net values of EUR 5,836 million and EUR -776 million, respectively.
In January - September 2023, total external debt increased by EUR 17,376 million, of which:
- long-term external debt at end-September 2023 ran at EUR 116,128 million (72 percent of total external debt), up 17.7 percent against end-2022;
- short-term external debt at end-September 2023 amounted to EUR 45,134 million (28 percent of total external debt), down 0.3 percent from end-2022.
Romania’s external debt and external debt service
| |
External debt |
External debt service, 9M 2023p |
| End-2022 |
End-September 2023p |
| 1. General government
| 57,845
| 73,326
| 6,217 |
| Currency and deposits
| 470
| 565
| 1,874 |
| Debt securities*
| 42,941
| 58,097
| 2,917 |
| Loans
| 14,163
| 14,185
| 1,331 |
| Trade credit and advances
| 267
| 475
| 95 |
| Other accounts payable
| 4
| 4
| 0 |
| 2. Central Bank
| 3,404
| 3,371
| 99 |
| Currency and deposits
| 1
| 1
| 13 |
| Debt securities
| 0
| 0
| 0 |
| Loans
| 0
| 0
| 0 |
| Allocation of SDRs
| 3,403
| 3,370
| 86 |
| Other accounts payable
| 0
| 0
| 0 |
| 3. Deposit taking corporations except the central bank
| 10,973
| 12,235
| 9,730 |
| Currency and deposits
| 8,880
| 8,801
| 7,092 |
| Debt securities
| 1,961
| 3,326
| 2,409 |
| Loans
| 0
| 0
| 0 |
| Other accounts payable
| 132
| 108
| 229 |
| 4. Other sectors
| 27,898
| 30,050
| 19,206 |
| Currency and deposits
| 0
| 0
| 0 |
| Debt securities
| 800
| 827
| 507 |
| Loans
| 12,813
| 13,288
| 9,254 |
| Trade credit and advances
| 14,022
| 15,638
| 9,225 |
| Other accounts payable
| 263
| 297
| 220 |
| I. EXTERNAL DEBT (1+2+3+4)**
| 100,120
| 118,982
| 35,252 |
| II. DIRECT INVESTMENT: INTERCOMPANY LENDING
| 43,766
| 42,280
| 24,789 |
TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT (I+II)
of which:
| 143,886
| 161,262
| 60,041 |
| Short term
| 45,248
| 45,134
| 43,766 |
| Long term
| 98,638
| 116,128
| 16,275 |
p - provisional data
*The developments in the stock of debt securities issued by the general government include the influence of higher prices of these instruments worth EUR 2 billion. **except debt instruments related to direct investment
Long-term external debt service ratio stood at 17 percent in January - September 2023 against 17.9 percent in 2022. At end-September 2023, goods and services import cover stood at 5.6 months, as compared to 4.4 months at end-2022.
At end-September 2023, the ratio of the National Bank of Romania’s foreign exchange reserves to short-term external debt by remaining maturity came in at 105.4 percent, as against 82.4 percent at end-2022.
Methodological Notes
- Data are updated on a monthly basis. Data for the current period together with the revised data for the base period are available under Data sets; historical monthly and quarterly data going back to 2005 are available in the Interactive database.
- The international methodological standard on balance of payments compilation is ensured by the IMF’s sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). The BPM6 methodology has been transposed into the EU legislation based on Commission Regulation (EU) No 555/2012 amending Regulation (EC) No 184/2005 of the European Parliament and of the Council on Community statistics concerning balance of payments, international trade in services and foreign direct investment, as regards the update of data requirements and definitions.
- In order to analyse current account data, the following aspects should be considered:
- 3.1. Goods (on a BOP basis): Source: National Institute of Statistics – International Trade of Goods. Imports FOB are calculated by the NBR based on the CIF/FOB conversion factor set by the NIS. The balance of payments principle consists in entering goods based on the “change in economic ownership” criterion (goods acquired by residents are included, irrespective of whether the goods cross the country border or not), while in international trade statistics goods are recorded based on the “cross-border” criterion (goods are recorded when crossing the border, irrespective of whether they belong to residents or not). In order to ensure compliance with the “change in economic ownership” criterion, the NIS data are adjusted by the NBR, therefore the values of exports and imports of goods in the BOP statistics are different from those in the statistics on the international trade of goods;
- 3.2. Services: Source: Quarterly Survey on International Trade in Services;
- 3.3. Primary income: includes compensation of employees, investment income (direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment) and other primary income (taxes, subsidies);
- 3.4. Secondary income: includes current private transfers and transfers of the general government.
- Foreign direct investment: The permanent debt between affiliated financial intermediaries (banks, NBFIs) is not treated as direct investment, but recorded under financial account/other investment.
- The statistical standards for the external debt breakdown by institutional sector are provided by the IMF’s manuals External Debt Statistics Guide for Compilers and Users (2014), Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, 6th edition (BPM6) and System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA).
- Long-term external debt service ratio is calculated as a ratio of long-term external debt service to exports of goods and services.
- Import cover is calculated as a ratio of international reserves (foreign exchange + gold) at the end of period to average monthly imports of goods and services for the period under review.
- Short-term external debt by remaining maturity refers to the short-term external debt outstanding at the end of period plus the payments related to long-term external debt due in the following 12 months.
The next monthly press release on the “Balance of payments and external debt” will be issued on 14 December 2023.