Comunicat de presă


Balance of payments and external debt – March 2024

14.05.2024

In January – March 2024p, the balance-of-payments current account posted a deficit of EUR 3,945 million, compared with EUR 3,964 million in January – March 2023. The breakdown shows that the deficit on trade in goods widened by EUR 8 million, the surplus on services fell by EUR 434 million, the primary income deficit increased by EUR 382 million, while the secondary income surplus grew by EUR 843 million.

Balance of payments current account (EUR million)
 January - March 2023January - March 2024p
CREDITDEBITBALANCECREDITDEBITBALANCE
CURRENT ACCOUNT (A+B+C)36,54240,506-3,96437,22441,169-3,945
A. Goods and services31,96134,771-2,81031,74935,001-3,252
a. Goods22,20228,778-6,57621,50928,093-6,584
b. Services9,7595,9933,76610,2406,9083,332
- manufacturing services on physical inputs owned by others8463481281339774
- transport2,6411,1261,5152,7061,1931,513
- tourism-travel1,0751,821-7469032,010-1,107
- telecommunications, computer, and information services2,5399821,5572,7191,1681,551
- other2,6582,0306283,0992,498601
B. Primary income3,0554,353-1,2982,9304,610-1,680
C. Secondary income1,5261,3821442,5451,558987

p - provisional data

Non-residents’ direct investmente in Romania totalled EUR 2,095 million (compared with EUR 2,216 million in January – March 2023), of which equity (including the estimated net reinvestment of earnings) and intercompany lending recorded net values of EUR 2,330 million and EUR -235 million, respectively.

In January – March 2024, total external debt increased by EUR 7,643 million to EUR 177,726 million, of which:

  • long-term external debt at end-March 2024 ran at EUR 129,063 million (72.6 percent of total external debt), up 6 percent against end-2023;
  • short-term external debt at end-March 2024 amounted to EUR 48,663 million (27.4 percent of total external debt), up 0.7 percent from end-2023.

Romania’s external debt and external debt service
 External debtExternal debt service, 3M 2024p
End-2023End-March 2024p
1. General government76,91584,0692,354
Currency and deposits391211913
Debt securities*61,26568,2181,217
Loans15,11015,520134
Trade credit and advances14511690
Other accounts payable440
2. Central Bank3,3073,34236
Currency and deposits111
Debt securities000
Loans000
Allocation of SDRs3,3063,34135
Other accounts payable000
3. Deposit taking corporations except the central bank12,81713,1543,541
Currency and deposits8,5508,5952,010
Debt securities4,1744,3861,476
Loans000
Other accounts payable9317355
4. Other sectors31,03731,0506,611
Currency and deposits000
Debt securities863870368
Loans13,58513,5782,733
Trade credit and advances16,30016,3033,435
Other accounts payable28929975
I. EXTERNAL DEBT (1+2+3+4)**124,076131,61512,542
II. DIRECT INVESTMENT: INTERCOMPANY LENDING46,00746,1119,229
TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT (I+II)
   of which:
170,083177,72621,771
Short term48,32548,66316,861
Long term121,758129,0634,910

p - provisional data
*except debt instruments related to direct investment

Long-term external debt service ratio stood at 15.5 percent in March 2024 against 16.7 percent in 2023. At end-March 2024, goods and services import cover ran at 6.1 months, as compared to 5.6 months at end-2023.

At end-March 2024, the ratio of the National Bank of Romania’s foreign exchange reserves to short-term external debt by remaining maturity came in at 102.6 percent, as against 96.3 percent at end-2023.

Methodological Notes

  1. Data are updated on a monthly basis. Data for the current period together with the revised data for the base period are available under Data sets; historical monthly and quarterly data going back to 2005 are available in the Interactive database.
  2. The international methodological standard on balance of payments compilation is ensured by the IMF’s sixth edition of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual (BPM6). The BPM6 methodology has been transposed into the EU legislation based on Commission Regulation (EU) No 555/2012 amending Regulation (EC) No 184/2005 of the European Parliament and of the Council on Community statistics concerning balance of payments, international trade in services and foreign direct investment, as regards the update of data requirements and definitions.
  3. In order to analyse current account data, the following aspects should be considered:
    1. 3.1. Goods (on a BOP basis): Source: National Institute of Statistics – International Trade of Goods. Imports FOB are calculated by the NBR based on the CIF/FOB conversion factor set by the NIS. The balance of payments principle consists in entering goods based on the “change in economic ownership” criterion (goods acquired by residents are included, irrespective of whether the goods cross the country border or not), while in international trade statistics goods are recorded based on the “cross-border” criterion (goods are recorded when crossing the border, irrespective of whether they belong to residents or not). In order to ensure compliance with the “change in economic ownership” criterion, the NIS data are adjusted by the NBR, therefore the values of exports and imports of goods in the BOP statistics are different from those in the statistics on the international trade of goods;
    2. 3.2. Services: Source: Quarterly Survey on International Trade in Services;
    3. 3.3. Primary income: includes compensation of employees, investment income (direct investment, portfolio investment, other investment) and other primary income (taxes, subsidies);
    4. 3.4. Secondary income: includes current private transfers and transfers of the general government.
  4. Foreign direct investment: The permanent debt between affiliated financial intermediaries (banks, NBFIs) is not treated as direct investment, but recorded under financial account/other investment.
  5. The statistical standards for the external debt breakdown by institutional sector are provided by the IMF’s manuals External Debt Statistics Guide for Compilers and Users (2014), Balance of Payments and International Investment Position, 6th edition (BPM6) and System of National Accounts 2008 (SNA).
  6. Long-term external debt service ratio is calculated as a ratio of long-term external debt service to exports of goods and services.
  7. Import cover is calculated as a ratio of international reserves (foreign exchange + gold) at the end of period to average monthly imports of goods and services for the period under review.
  8. Short-term external debt by remaining maturity refers to the short-term external debt outstanding at the end of period plus the payments related to long-term external debt due in the following 12 months.

The next monthly press release on the “Balance of payments and external debt” will be issued on 13 June 2024.